The Weather Project · Product guide
Snow-settling temperature forecasts explained
See when temperatures may become favourable for snow to settle at different elevations. This complements snowfall amounts: it does not predict whether precipitation will actually arrive.
Understand the guidance
What the percentage describes
The published charts describe the probability of conditions being cold enough for snow to settle at a specified elevation. They do not show the probability that snow will actually fall. Treat them as model-derived guidance, not a guaranteed outcome.
Compare elevations
Four charts per location show how the thermal signal changes with height. A strong signal on a summit chart may coexist with marginal conditions lower down. Use the elevation shown on the chart rather than the town name alone.
Pair with snow and rain amounts
A cold, dry period can show favourable settling temperatures without producing snow. Match location, elevation, forecast run and valid period with the town snow/rain charts before interpreting the combined outlook.
What the chart cannot promise
Settling depends on precipitation as well as surface and atmospheric conditions. These charts do not certify road conditions, snow cover, snow depth or resort operations. Do not interpret a percentage as a verified local forecast accuracy.
Use the two town products together
Search the directory, choose a location and compare the same elevation in both products. The current directory includes NSW, Victoria, Tasmania and the ACT, with a 10-day forecast window where available.
Explore weather product guides
Check the source, model run, observation timestamp and valid period shown in the live product. Forecast guidance carries uncertainty and is not an official warning.