Frost Risk Forecast – The Weather Project

Frost Risk – New South Wales, Victoria & Tasmania

Updated nightly by 9 pm. Maps show the forecast frost risk (%) for each state at 7 am.

I’ve spent more than 30 years in weather, data, and environmental science, chasing better answers to a simple question:

“Will there be frost at my place?”

If you farm, garden, or manage land, you know how critical frost timing can be — especially at sensitive points in the season. These maps aim to give you a clearer picture, straight from the models, without the fluff.

  • 🔄 Fully automated from the latest GFS runs, refreshed daily.

Extended access: $50/year — no ads, no marketing blasts, just data.

What These Maps Show

  • ✅ GFS model-driven frost risk, expressed as a percentage
  • ✅ Criteria-based logic blending temperature, dew point, wind speed, and cloud cover
  • ✅ Updated daily, with free access out to 96 hours
  • ✅ State-specific outputs for NSW, VIC, and TAS
  • ❌ No bias correction from weather station observations
  • ❌ No high-resolution terrain modelling
  • ❌ Not a substitute for BoM or official forecasts

It isn’t perfect — but it’s consistent, transparent, and designed to help you make better calls. Need something more customised? The framework can be tailored for your operation.

Want more detail? Visit the full forecast pages linked below.

New South Wales

NSW Frost Risk

Victoria

Victoria Frost Risk

Tasmania

Tasmania Frost Risk

Explore Full Frost Map Coverage:

New South Wales Maps Victoria Maps Tasmania Maps
× Full Size Forecast Map