The Weather Project · Queensland

Thunderstorm Risk

Explore thunderstorm risk forecasts across Queensland. A GFS based forecast displaying thunderstorm risk over the 10-day forecast window at 3 hourly intervals. The thunderstorm composite score represents the overall thunderstorm risk score from 0-100. It combines the atmosphere’s support for storms to develop with its support for storms to become strong. It leans slightly more toward storm development and coverage than severity alone.

10-day forecastCategorical forecast from minimal to extreme3-hourly · 0–240 hoursMap times are local
Browse the forecast

Open a map to explore or animate the sequence.

Understanding the 10m wind gust forecast

10m Thunderstorm risk forecasts are displayed at 3-hourly intervals over the period of the 10-day forecast.Longer forecast lead times are associated with lower forecast skill.

< p> The thunderstorm composite score represents the overall thunderstorm risk score (0-100). It combines the atmosphere’s support for storms to develop with its support for storms to become strong. It leans slightly more toward storm development and coverage than severity alone.

Read the valid date and local time printed on each map. The gallery labels show forecast lead hours, not clock times. Playback follows all 81 frames, including those hidden by the gallery filter.

Model guidance only. Check the run timestamp on the maps and local observations before making rain-sensitive decisions.

+0 h+120 h