Frost Risk Forecast – The Weather Project

Frost Risk Across NSW, VIC, and TAS

Maps update nightly by 9pm. Maps show frost risk (%) by state at 7am.

I’ve been involved in weather, data, and environmental science for over 30 years. I just wanted better answers to a simple question:

“Will there be frost at my place?”

If you work the land, you already know the importance of understanding what the risk of frost is, especially at sensitive times of the year. Hopefully, this brings some better clarity.

What These Maps Are:

  • ✅ Based on GFS weather model data
  • ✅ Criteria-based logic (temperature, dew point, windspeed, cloud cover )
  • ✅ Updated automatically daily
  • ✅ Free out to 96hrs and tailored for New South Wales, Victoria and Tasmania
  • ❌ Not corrected using weather station obs
  • ❌ No terrain modelling
  • ❌ Not a replacement for BoM or official forecasts

This system isn’t perfect — but it’s something. And sometimes that’s enough to help you make a better decision. A solution could be further tailored to suit your use.

Want more detail? Visit the full forecast pages linked below.

New South Wales

NSW Frost Risk

Victoria

Victoria Frost Risk

Tasmania

Tasmania Frost Risk

Explore Full Frost Map Coverage:

New South Wales Maps Victoria Maps Tasmania Maps
× Full Size Forecast Map